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Dortmund U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Dortmund Brackel Training Ground, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Diallo O.
Assist: Etcibasi T.
23' Event
Koita Y.
Assist: Hodl J.
25'
Hodl J.

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sturm Graz U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dortmund U19
35%
Draws
32%
Sturm Graz U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dortmund U19 have won more games recently than Sturm Graz U19.
  • Dortmund U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund U19 Sturm Graz U19
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 2.3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sturm Graz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund U19 74 / 100
Sturm Graz U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund U19 Sturm Graz U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sturm Graz U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Dortmund U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund U19 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz U19

(Away)
05 Mar
Sturm Graz U19
1 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19
12 Feb
Lok. Zagreb U19
1 : 2
Sturm Graz U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Sturm Graz U19
0 : 0
Girona U19
05 Nov
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Sturm Graz U19
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)