Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dortmund W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Harder P.
34' Event
Harder P.

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich W in this DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dortmund W
20%
Draws
52%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayern Munich W have won more games recently than Dortmund W.
  • Bayern Munich W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Bayern Munich W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayern Munich W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dortmund W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 3 26
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 1.86 2.81
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Dortmund W vs Bayern Munich W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund W 10 / 100
Bayern Munich W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dortmund W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Dortmund W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Bayern Munich W let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund W VS Bayern Munich W
3.33 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund W

(Home)
15 Aug
Dortmund W
1 : 0
AS Roma W
08 Aug
Dortmund W
6 : 1
Heerenveen W
22 Jul
Mainz W
3 : 3
Dortmund W
17 Jan
1.FC Nurnberg W
6 : 0
Dortmund W
29 Sept
Dortmund W
0 : 2
Bayern Munich W
Page 1 of 2

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W 0
Mainz W 2
TBD -
Union Berlin W -
Chemie Leipzig W 3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W 2
TBD -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
Holstein Kiel W 0
Meppen W 1
TBD -
SC Sand W -
Neubrandenburg W 0
VfR Warbeyen W 8
TBD -
Koln W -
FSV Babelsberg W 1
Buntentor W 2
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Borussia Pankow W 0
Hannover W 6
TBD -
Freiburg W -
Weinberg W 2
Greuther Furth W 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim W -
Viktoria Berlin W 2
Bochum W 1
TBD -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Gutersloh W 0
Magdeburg W 2
TBD -
Hamburger W -
Elversberg W 2
Fortuna Koln W 1
TBD -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Saalfeld Titans W 0
Ingolstadt W 23
TBD -
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Dortmund W 3
B. Monchengladbach W 1
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Montabaur W 3
Siegelbach W 0
TBD -
Potsdam W -
VfL Herrenberg W 0
Kickers Offenbach W 2
TBD -
SGS Essen W -
Karlsruher W 0
Andernach W 4
TBD -
RB Leipzig W -
Solingen-Aufderhohe W 0
SC Victoria Hamburg W 6
TBD -
Werder Bremen W -
1/16-finals
Mainz W 0
Union Berlin W 2
Chemie Leipzig W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 5
Meppen W 0
SC Sand W 3
VfR Warbeyen W 0
Koln W 6
Buntentor W 0
Wolfsburg W 11
Hannover W 0
Freiburg W 4
Greuther Furth W 1
Hoffenheim W 2
Viktoria Berlin W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 3
Magdeburg W 0
Hamburger W 3
Elversberg W 0
Bayer Leverkusen W 5
Ingolstadt W 3
1.FC Nurnberg W 2
Dortmund W 0
Bayern Munich W 2
Montabaur W 0
Potsdam W 3
Kickers Offenbach W 0
SGS Essen W 7
Andernach W 0
RB Leipzig W 7
SC Victoria Hamburg W 0
Werder Bremen W 7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 1
SC Sand W 3
Koln W 2
Wolfsburg W 3
Freiburg W 1
Hoffenheim W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 6
Hamburger W 2
Bayer Leverkusen W 1
Ingolstadt W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
Potsdam W 0
SGS Essen W 1
RB Leipzig W 1
Werder Bremen W 2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 4
SC Sand W 1
Wolfsburg W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 0
Hamburger W 0
Bayern Munich W 3
SGS Essen W 1
Werder Bremen W 0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W 0
Wolfsburg W 1
Bayern Munich W 4
SGS Essen W 0
Final
Wolfsburg W 0
Bayern Munich W 4