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Douane vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hawbott M.
54' Event
Dembele K.
77' Event
Bowba E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Douane and Nouadhibou finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Douane
35%
Draws
40%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nouadhibou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nouadhibou's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Douane Clean Sheet 12%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouadhibou
2:2
Dec 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
3:2
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
1:1
Jan 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouadhibou
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowba E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yatma A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawbott M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 22 / 100
Nouadhibou 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douane's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Douane remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS Nouadhibou
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
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Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)