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Douane vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Hawbott M.
54' Event
Dembele K.
77' Event
Bowba E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Douane and Nouadhibou finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Douane
6%
Draws
90%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nouadhibou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nouadhibou's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Douane Clean Sheet 14%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouadhibou
2:2
Dec 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
3:2
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
1:1
Jan 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouadhibou
0:0
Jun 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Douane
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowba E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yatma A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawbott M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 10 / 100
Nouadhibou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douane's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Douane remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS Nouadhibou
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
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Nouadhibou

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
25 Apr
Kaedi
0 : 1
Nouadhibou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)