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Douane vs Nzeidane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Douane Logo

Douane

0 - 1
FT
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ekbad M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nzeidane in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Douane
35%
Draws
45%
Nzeidane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Douane at 1.53 per game, Nzeidane at 1.52.
  • Model gives Nzeidane a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Douane Clean Sheet 16%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane Nzeidane
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Douane
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nzeidane
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nzeidane
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Douane
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekbad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 10 / 100
Nzeidane 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane Nzeidane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Douane found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nzeidane conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Douane remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS Nzeidane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Nzeidane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)