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Douanes Niamey vs AS UAM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Douanes Niamey and AS UAM finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Douanes Niamey
35%
Draws
32%
AS UAM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douanes Niamey come out ahead of AS UAM on wins alone.
  • Douanes Niamey are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
AS UAM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey AS UAM
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS UAM
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS UAM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 42 / 100
AS UAM 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey AS UAM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douanes Niamey scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: AS UAM conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Douanes Niamey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS AS UAM
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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AS UAM

(Away)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
27 Sept
AS UAM
1 : 1
Espoir
20 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 1
AS UAM
13 Sept
AS UAM
0 : 2
Wombeye
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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