Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Douanes Niamey vs Liberte

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
Douanes Niamey Logo

Douanes Niamey

1 - 1
FT
Liberte Logo

Liberte

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Douanes Niamey and Liberte finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Douanes Niamey
35%
Draws
22%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Douanes Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douanes Niamey come out ahead of Liberte on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Douanes Niamey taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Liberte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey Liberte
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 5
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Liberte
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
1:1
Jun 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Liberte
4:3
Dec 6, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
0:1
Jul 10, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 76 / 100
Liberte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douanes Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Douanes Niamey scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Douanes Niamey went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS Liberte
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6

Liberte

(Away)
18 Sept
Liberte
2 : 2
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)