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Douanes Niamey vs Renaissance

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Douanes Niamey and Renaissance finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douanes Niamey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Douanes Niamey
30%
Draws
12%
Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douanes Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Douanes Niamey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Douanes Niamey taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey Renaissance
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.19 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Renaissance
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs Douanes Niamey
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 Super Ligue
Renaissance vs Douanes Niamey
0:4
Jan 1, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Renaissance
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Renaissance
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 85 / 100
Renaissance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douanes Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Renaissance conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Douanes Niamey scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Douanes Niamey remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Renaissance registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS Renaissance
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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Renaissance

(Away)
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
05 Jun
Renaissance
1 : 4
Olympic Niamey
01 Jun
Urana
1 : 0
Renaissance
22 May
Renaissance
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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