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Douanes Niamey vs Tagour

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Douanes Niamey and Tagour finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douanes Niamey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Douanes Niamey
30%
Draws
23%
Tagour
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douanes Niamey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douanes Niamey come out ahead of Tagour on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Douanes Niamey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Douanes Niamey here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Tagour Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey Tagour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Tagour
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Tagour vs Douanes Niamey
0:1
Jun 6, 2024 Super Ligue
Tagour vs Douanes Niamey
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Tagour
1:0
Apr 1, 2017 Super Ligue
Tagour vs Douanes Niamey
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 85 / 100
Tagour 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey Tagour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douanes Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tagour let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Douanes Niamey scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Douanes Niamey stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS Tagour
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6

Tagour

(Away)
23 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 0
Tagour
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
18 Jun
AS UAM
2 : 1
Tagour
17 Jun
Tagour
3 : 0
Urana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)