Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Miguel Morales

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Douglas Haig host 9 de Julio Rafaela in the Torneo Federal. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Douglas Haig have averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded recently, against 9 de Julio Rafaela's 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back 9 de Julio Rafaela to edge this. 9 de Julio Rafaela in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Douglas Haig

22%

Draws

18%

9 de Julio Rafaela

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Douglas Haig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

9 de Julio Rafaela has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Douglas Haig.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Douglas Haig.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 20%

9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Douglas Haig	9 de Julio Rafaela
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	14
Draws	6	9
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 29, 2025 Torneo Federal

Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Apr 27, 2025 Torneo Federal

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

May 19, 2024 Torneo Federal

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Haig 58 / 100

9 de Julio Rafaela 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Douglas Haig 9 de Julio Rafaela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douglas Haig scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

9 de Julio Rafaela let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

9 de Julio Rafaela lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Haig VS 9 de Julio Rafaela

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9