Sport Picks
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Miguel Morales, Pergamino 
Match Events
36'
36'
Pereira G.
50'
50'
Abondetto R.
51'
51'
Palacio J.
AI Match Summary
Douglas Haig in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Douglas Haig.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Douglas Haig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- 9 de Julio Rafaela haven't matched Douglas Haig's recent run of results.
- Model gives Douglas Haig a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 68%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Douglas Haig | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Douglas Haig Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palacio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Abondetto R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Douglas Haig 86 / 100
9 de Julio Rafaela 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Douglas Haig 9 de Julio Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Douglas Haig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
9 de Julio Rafaela has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Douglas Haig scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Douglas Haig VS 9 de Julio Rafaela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Douglas Haig
(Home) 20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4 Douglas Haig
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 3
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Away) 20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
07 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
