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Douglas Haig vs Atl. Rafaela

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Miguel Morales
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Affranchino F.
29' Event
Tus E.
30'
Mauri M.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Rafaela in this Torneo Federal 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Douglas Haig
33%
Draws
27%
Atl. Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Douglas Haig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than Douglas Haig.
  • Win probability leans Douglas Haig's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Atl. Rafaela have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douglas Haig Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Atl. Rafaela vs Douglas Haig
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Atl. Rafaela
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Atl. Rafaela
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douglas Haig Compare

Top Goalscorer Tus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Affranchino F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Haig 50 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douglas Haig Atl. Rafaela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Douglas Haig scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Douglas Haig remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Atl. Rafaela conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Haig VS Atl. Rafaela
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0