Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Miguel Morales

Gimnasia E.R.

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Douglas Haig play Gimnasia E.R. in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Douglas Haig averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gimnasia E.R. averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Douglas Haig won 3, Gimnasia E.R. won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Douglas Haig and 0.75 for Gimnasia E.R.. This points to a Douglas Haig double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Douglas Haig

28%

Draws

27%

Gimnasia E.R.

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Douglas Haig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Douglas Haig picked up more points recently compared to Gimnasia E.R..
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 27%

Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Douglas Haig	Gimnasia E.R.
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.29	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal

Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Jun 14, 2025 Torneo Federal

Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 13, 2025 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jul 28, 2024 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Douglas Haig

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Haig 46 / 100

Gimnasia E.R. 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Douglas Haig Gimnasia E.R.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Douglas Haig or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Douglas Haig attacking → ← attacking Gimnasia E.R.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douglas Haig scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Gimnasia E.R. let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia E.R. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 31

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9