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Stadium Background

Douglas Hall vs Castlebar Celtic

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Douglas Hall Grounds, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Felle D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Douglas Hall
15%
Draws
59%
Castlebar Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castlebar Celtic at 1.5 per game, Douglas Hall at 0.94.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Castlebar Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Douglas Hall Clean Sheet 10%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douglas Hall Castlebar Celtic
Matches Played 16 12
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.94 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 FAI Cup
Douglas Hall vs Castlebar Celtic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douglas Hall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Castlebar Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Felle D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Hall 29 / 100
Castlebar Celtic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douglas Hall Castlebar Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douglas Hall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castlebar Celtic conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

Douglas Hall found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (16 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Douglas Hall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Hall VS Castlebar Celtic
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Douglas Hall

(Home)
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
17 May
Douglas Hall
1 : 0
Fanad United
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
29 May
Wexford
3 : 2
Douglas Hall
27 May
Douglas Hall
1 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 4

Castlebar Celtic

(Away)
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0
North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6
Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4
Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -