Sport Picks

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Douglas Hall vs Castlebar Celtic

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Douglas Hall Grounds, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Felle D.

AI Match Summary

Castlebar Celtic in this FAI Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Douglas Hall
33%
Draws
40%
Castlebar Celtic
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Castlebar Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castlebar Celtic at 1.75 per game, Douglas Hall at 0.75.
  • Win probability leans Castlebar Celtic's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Castlebar Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Douglas Hall Clean Sheet 12%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douglas Hall Castlebar Celtic
Matches Played 16 11
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 FAI Cup
Douglas Hall vs Castlebar Celtic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douglas Hall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Castlebar Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Felle D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Hall 27 / 100
Castlebar Celtic 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douglas Hall Castlebar Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castlebar Celtic conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

Douglas Hall found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (16 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Douglas Hall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Hall VS Castlebar Celtic
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Douglas Hall

(Home)
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
17 May
Douglas Hall
1 : 0
Fanad United
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
29 May
Wexford
3 : 2
Douglas Hall
27 May
Douglas Hall
1 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 4

Castlebar Celtic

(Away)
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1
Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0
North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6
Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4
Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Crumlin Utd4
Salthill0
Douglas Hall1
Fanad United0
Castlebar Celtic3
North End United0
TBD-
TBD-
Lucan Utd5
University College Cork2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liffey Wanderers1
Ringmahon Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
Baldoyle Utd.2
Leicester Celtic AFC0
TBD-
TBD-
St. Patricks-
TBD-
TBD-
Wexford-
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic4
River Valley Rangers1
College Corinthians2
Killester Donnycarney1
St. Michaels1
Janesboro3
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
TBD-
Midleton2
Mayfield Utd0
Wayside Celtic3
St Mochta's4
TBD-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
TBD-
Fairview Rangers0
Tolka3
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
1/16-finals
Galway United4
Crumlin Utd0
Douglas Hall0
Castlebar Celtic1
Drogheda4
Lucan Utd0
Finn Harps0
Bray1
Ringmahon Rangers-
Bohemians-
Baldoyle Utd.0
Longford8
St. Patricks2
Wexford1
Waterford2
Cobh Ramblers1
Bangor Celtic4
College Corinthians5
Janesboro0
Sligo Rovers4
Athlone3
Midleton0
St Mochta's1
Dundalk3
Derry City3
Tolka0
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City1
Treaty United1
UC Dublin2
Kerry3
Shelbourne2
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-