Sport Picks
Dourados vs Aguia Negra Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dourados carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Dourados's way, sitting at 50%.
- Dourados have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dourados, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dourados | Aguia Negra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dourados Compare
Aguia Negra Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dourados found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).
Aguia Negra let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dourados went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
