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Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Dourados and Aquidauanense finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dourados.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aquidauanense have managed 1.34 goals a game lately — Dourados are scoring more at 1.36.
- Model gives Aquidauanense a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dourados | Aquidauanense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dourados Compare
Aquidauanense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dourados scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Aquidauanense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Dourados went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dourados
(Home)Aquidauanense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivinhema | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pantanal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dourados | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Naviraiense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Corumbaense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Coxim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | 4 |