Sport Picks
Dover Ath. vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Nikaj G.
45'
45'
Babos A.
50'
50'
Yearn K.
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Dover Ath. and Chesham finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesham's 2.14 goals per match outpaces what Dover Ath. have produced (1.43).
- Dover Ath. are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dover Ath. | Chesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chesham
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 National League South
Chesham vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikaj G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Babos A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yearn K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dover Ath. 47 / 100
Chesham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dover Ath. Chesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chesham conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Dover Ath. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Dover Ath. scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Dover Ath. VS Chesham
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Dover Ath.
(Home) 03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3 Braintree
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 4
Chesham
(Away) 03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3 Real Bedford
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2 Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1 Chesham
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4 Chesham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0 Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
