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Dover Ath. vs Farnborough

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Beadle H.
44' Event
Robinson O.
45' Event
Bingham R.

AI Match Summary

Farnborough in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Dover Ath.
20%
Draws
11%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Dover Ath. haven't matched Farnborough's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dover Ath. a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 19%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Farnborough
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
4:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Farnborough
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Beadle H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bingham R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 85 / 100
Farnborough 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Farnborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dover Ath. found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Farnborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dover Ath. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Farnborough
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6

Farnborough

(Away)
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)