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Dover Ath. vs Gillingham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Harris K.
51' Event
Dayal L.
78' Event
Gale S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dover Ath. and Gillingham finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dover Ath.
33%
Draws
27%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dover Ath. haven't matched Gillingham's recent run of results.
  • Dover Ath. are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 13%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Gillingham
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Gillingham
0:3
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Gillingham
0:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Dover Ath.
4:0
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Gillingham
2:0
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Gillingham
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dover Ath. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dayal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 39 / 100
Gillingham 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dover Ath. scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Gillingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Dover Ath. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Gillingham
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Chesham
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0
Dover Ath.
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Gillingham

(Away)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
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