Sport Picks
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
England
National League South Crabble Athletic Ground, Dover 
Match Events
28'
28'
Clerima R.
54'
54'
Charles-Cook R.
64'
64'
Hall C.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Dover Ath. and Maidenhead finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidenhead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dover Ath. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Maidenhead have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 19%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dover Ath. | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
1:2
Apr 9, 2022 National League
Dover Ath. vs Maidenhead
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 National League
Maidenhead vs Dover Ath.
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dover Ath. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Maidenhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Clerima R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hall C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dover Ath. 31 / 100
Maidenhead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dover Ath. Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dover Ath.'s goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Defensive concern: Maidenhead conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Dover Ath. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dover Ath. VS Maidenhead
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dover Ath.
(Home) 19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3 Braintree
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
15 Aug
Dover Ath.
5 : 3 Slough Town
Page 1 of 4
Maidenhead
(Away) 19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
01 Aug
Brackley
1 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
