Sport Picks
Dover Ath. vs Tonbridge
England
National League South Crabble Athletic Ground, Dover 
Match Events
52'
52'
Tanga J.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Dover Ath. and Tonbridge finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tonbridge come out ahead of Dover Ath. on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Tonbridge taking it.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tonbridge have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dover Ath. | Tonbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Tonbridge
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Tonbridge
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 National League South
Tonbridge vs Dover Ath.
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Tonbridge
2:4
Jan 23, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Tonbridge
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dover Ath. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Tonbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanga J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dover Ath. 18 / 100
Tonbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dover Ath. Tonbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dover Ath.'s goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Tonbridge let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Dover Ath. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dover Ath. VS Tonbridge
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dover Ath.
(Home) 19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3 Braintree
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
15 Aug
Dover Ath.
5 : 3 Slough Town
Page 1 of 4
Tonbridge
(Away) 19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1 Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1 Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4 Tonbridge
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2 Tonbridge
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Aug
Braintree
0 : 4 Tonbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
