Sport Picks
Downshire Y.M. vs Kilmore Rec
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Kilmore Rec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Downshire Y.M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kilmore Rec come out ahead of Downshire Y.M. on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Downshire Y.M.'s way, sitting at 80%.
- Kilmore Rec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kilmore Rec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Downshire Y.M. Clean Sheet 14%
Kilmore Rec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Downshire Y.M. | Kilmore Rec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.06 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2013 Irish Cup
Downshire Y.M. vs Kilmore Rec
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Downshire Y.M. 75 / 100
Kilmore Rec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Downshire Y.M. Kilmore Rec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Downshire Y.M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Downshire Y.M. scored in 83% of their last 18 games.
Kilmore Rec has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Kilmore Rec's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Downshire Y.M. VS Kilmore Rec
2.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Downshire Y.M.
(Home) 26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5 Crusaders
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0 Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0 Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4 Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10 Moyola
Page 1 of 4
26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5 Crusaders
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0 Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4 Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10 Moyola
01 Oct
Downshire Y.M.
3 : 2 U. U. Jordanstown
Page 1 of 3
Kilmore Rec
(Away) 17 Aug
Crumlin Star
8 : 0 Kilmore Rec
29 Sept
Kilmore Rec
1 : 2 Sport & Leisure
18 Aug
Ballymacash
1 : 3 Kilmore Rec
22 Aug
Strabane Athletic
11 : 0 Kilmore Rec
11 Jan
Ballyclare
3 : 0 Kilmore Rec
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Crumlin Star
8 : 0 Kilmore Rec
18 Aug
Ballymacash
1 : 3 Kilmore Rec
22 Aug
Strabane Athletic
11 : 0 Kilmore Rec
11 Jan
Ballyclare
3 : 0 Kilmore Rec
07 Dec
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 3 Kilmore Rec
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Dergview -
TBD -
Nortel 0
Drumaness 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ardglass 5
Carniny Amateur & Youth 3
TBD -
Glebe -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Limavady -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0
Derriaghy 3
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirocco 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Strabane Athletic 2
Crumlin United 0
Bryansburn 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Downshire Y.M. 3
Shankill 2
Immaculata 0
Kilmore Rec 1
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Bangor Swifts 1
TBD -
Banbridge -
Crumlin Star 2
Newbuildings 1
Downpatrick 0
Newry City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Harland & Wolff 8
Dergview 2
Drumaness 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola 2
Annagh 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC 5
Knockbreda 2
Ardglass 2
Glebe 3
Chimney 3
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute 1
Tobermore 1
PSNI 2
Limavady 2
Derriaghy 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Queens University 5
Glenavon -
TBD -
Sirocco 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Strabane Athletic 2
Lisburn Rangers 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh 2
Loughgall 0
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare 4
Larne 1
Downshire Y.M. 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Dundela 5
Portstewart 2
Coagh Utd 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Ballymoney 3
Newington FC 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Banbridge 4
Crumlin Star 4
Newry City 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Dergview 0
Linfield 5
Coleraine 6
Cliftonville 5
Moyola 1
Dungannon 5
Bangor FC 7
Glebe 1
Chimney 0
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 0
Limavady 0
Queens University 1
Glenavon 7
Sport & Leisure 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Ballinamallard 1
Armagh 5
Ards 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 3
Kilmore Rec 0
Dundela 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Ballymoney 1
Banbridge 0
Crumlin Star 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 3
Bangor FC 1
Warrenpoint 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Queens University 2
Glenavon 3
Ballinamallard 0
Armagh 2
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 4
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 4
Dungannon 1
Bangor FC 2
Queens University 3
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Ballyclare 0
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Queens University 0
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Glenavon 2
