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Downshire Y.M. vs Rathfern Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Downshire Y.M. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Downshire Y.M.
15%
Draws
42%
Rathfern Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Downshire Y.M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Rathfern Rangers haven't matched Downshire Y.M.'s recent run of results.
  • Rathfern Rangers are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Downshire Y.M. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Downshire Y.M., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Downshire Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%
Rathfern Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Downshire Y.M. Rathfern Rangers
Matches Played 18 7
Wins 8 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.94 1.71
Goals Conceded 3.06 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup
Downshire Y.M. vs Rathfern Rangers
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Downshire Y.M. 14 / 100
Rathfern Rangers 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Downshire Y.M. Rathfern Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfern Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Downshire Y.M. found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (18 games).

Rathfern Rangers has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Rathfern Rangers's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Downshire Y.M. VS Rathfern Rangers
2.75 Goals Scored 1.83
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Downshire Y.M.

(Home)
26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5
Crusaders
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0
Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4
Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10
Moyola
Page 1 of 4

Rathfern Rangers

(Away)
19 Aug
Rathfern Rangers
4 : 5
Lisburn Rangers
20 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
4 : 0
Rathfern Rangers
03 Oct
Valley Rangers
3 : 1
Rathfern Rangers
22 Aug
Rathfern Rangers
4 : 2
Richhill
09 Nov
Rathfern Rangers
1 : 2
Sirocco
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
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Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
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St Luke's -
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PSNI -
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Ballyclare -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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PSNI -
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Ballyclare -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
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Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
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TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0