Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doxa vs Karmiotissa

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2025/2026 Makario Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Tzouliou D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Doxa and Karmiotissa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karmiotissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Doxa
30%
Draws
39%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karmiotissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Doxa haven't matched Karmiotissa's recent run of results.
  • Doxa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Doxa Clean Sheet 10%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doxa Karmiotissa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Doxa
2:2
Jan 16, 2026 Division 2
Doxa vs Karmiotissa
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Division 2
Doxa vs Karmiotissa
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Doxa
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Cyprus League
Doxa vs Karmiotissa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doxa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Karmiotissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tzouliou D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doxa 40 / 100
Karmiotissa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doxa Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doxa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Karmiotissa has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Doxa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doxa VS Karmiotissa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doxa

(Home)
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Omonia 29th May
5 : 1
Doxa
04 Apr
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 2
Doxa
21 Mar
Doxa
0 : 0
PAEEK
18 Mar
Nea Salamis
2 : 1
Doxa
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Karmiotissa

(Away)
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
25 Jul
Omonia Aradippou
3 : 4
Karmiotissa
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nea Salamis 15 13 2 0 27:5 41
2 PAEEK 15 8 5 2 23:8 29
3 Doxa 15 8 3 4 21:12 27
4 Omonia 29th May 15 7 5 3 30:15 26
5 Ayia Napa 15 7 5 3 20:15 26
6 Karmiotissa 15 8 3 4 25:15 24
7 ASIL Lysi 15 6 5 4 14:13 23
8 M.E.A.P. Nisou 15 6 3 6 18:27 21
9 Digenis Akritas 15 6 2 7 23:18 20
10 Apea Akrotiriou 15 5 3 7 19:23 18
11 Halkanoras 15 5 2 8 23:26 17
12 Kitiou 15 3 7 5 15:20 16
13 Iraklis Yerolakkou 15 2 7 6 11:19 13
14 Ethnikos Latsion 15 3 3 9 11:28 12
15 AEZ Zakakiou 15 2 4 9 11:23 10
16 Achyronas-Onisilos 15 1 1 13 6:30 4
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)