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Doze Futebol Clube vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Campeonato Capixaba 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Doze Futebol Clube
20%
Draws
46%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Doze Futebol Clube.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Desportiva Ferroviaria here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 19%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doze Futebol Clube Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2018 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:3
Mar 21, 2017 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:0
Mar 7, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Feb 13, 2016 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Doze Futebol Clube
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doze Futebol Clube 24 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doze Futebol Clube Desportiva Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Ferroviaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doze Futebol Clube's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Desportiva Ferroviaria conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Doze Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doze Futebol Clube VS Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Doze Futebol Clube

(Home)
22 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
4 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
08 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 1
Doze Futebol Clube
26 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
3 : 2
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 6

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Away)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
2 Real Noroeste 8 4 3 1 7:4 15
3 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
4 SAO Mateus 8 2 1 5 5:8 7
5 Sport-ES 8 1 2 5 5:9 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 8 5 3 0 10:3 18
2 Galatas 8 3 3 2 6:2 12
3 CA Itapemirim 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
4 Estrela do Norte 8 2 2 4 4:7 8
5 Doze Futebol Clube 8 1 2 5 1:10 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Second stage)
Relegation - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Relegation Group)