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Doze Futebol Clube vs Galatas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doze Futebol Clube play Galatas in the Campeonato Capixaba 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Doze Futebol Clube averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Galatas averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Doze Futebol Clube won 1, Galatas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 17, 2018 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Doze Futebol Clube and 1.81 for Galatas. This points to a Doze Futebol Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Doze Futebol Clube
35%
Draws
31%
Galatas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Doze Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Doze Futebol Clube picked up more points recently compared to Galatas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 11%
Galatas Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doze Futebol Clube Galatas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Galatas
0:2
Apr 22, 2017 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Galatas
0:0
Apr 16, 2017 Capixaba
Galatas vs Doze Futebol Clube
0:0
Apr 1, 2017 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Galatas
0:0
Feb 28, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Galatas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doze Futebol Clube 33 / 100
Galatas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doze Futebol Clube Galatas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Doze Futebol Clube or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Doze Futebol Clube attacking → ← attacking Galatas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doze Futebol Clube scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Galatas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Doze Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Galatas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 37
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Branco ES852110:517
2Real Noroeste84317:415
3Linhares Futebol Clube84047:812
4SAO Mateus82155:87
5Sport-ES81255:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportiva Ferroviaria853010:318
2Galatas83326:212
3CA Itapemirim82425:410
4Estrela do Norte82244:78
5Doze Futebol Clube81251:105