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D.R. Congo vs Chad

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kabwit O.
23' Event
Abderamane A.
48' Event
Katumbwe M.

AI Match Summary

D.R. Congo in this African Nations Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored D.R. Congo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
D.R. Congo
6%
Draws
4%
Chad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: D.R. Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • D.R. Congo have won more games recently than Chad.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on D.R. Congo taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this African Nations Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors D.R. Congo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 20%
Chad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo Chad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Chad
3:1
Dec 21, 2024 African Nations Championship
Chad vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Chad
5:0
Aug 28, 2022 African Nations Championship
Chad vs D.R. Congo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabwit O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katumbwe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abderamane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo 85 / 100
Chad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo Chad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D.R. Congo scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Chad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Chad registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo VS Chad
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone2
Liberia3
TBD-
Senegal-
Mauritania-
TBD-
TBD-
Mali-
Guinea-
TBD-
TBD-
Guinea Bissau-
Togo3
Benin1
TBD-
Niger-
Ivory Coast-
TBD-
TBD-
Burkina Faso-
Ghana-
TBD-
TBD-
Nigeria-
Equatorial Guinea-
TBD-
TBD-
Congo-
Central Africa-
TBD-
TBD-
Cameroon-
Chad-
TBD-
TBD-
D.R. Congo-
Burundi6
Somalia0
TBD-
Uganda-
Ethiopia6
Eritrea0
Sudan2
Tanzania1
South Sudan3
Kenya1
Djibouti1
Rwanda3
Zimbabwe0
Eswatini4
TBD-
Madagascar-
Lesotho2
Namibia1
TBD-
Angola-
Mozambique-
TBD-
TBD-
Zambia-
Final
Liberia1
Senegal4
Mauritania1
Mali0
Guinea6
Guinea Bissau2
Togo1
Niger1
Ivory Coast2
Burkina Faso3
Ghana1
Nigeria3
Equatorial Guinea1
Congo2
Central Africa2
Cameroon2
Chad2
D.R. Congo4
Burundi0
Uganda2
Ethiopia1
Sudan4
South Sudan4
Rwanda4
Eswatini1
Madagascar2
Lesotho1
Angola2
Mozambique0
Zambia6