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D.R. Congo vs Uganda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bogere J.
49' Event
Boateng K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between D.R. Congo and Uganda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uganda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
D.R. Congo
30%
Draws
37%
Uganda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uganda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • D.R. Congo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans D.R. Congo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo Uganda
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Friendly International
Uganda vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Oct 2, 2026 Friendly International
D.R. Congo vs Uganda
0:2
Jun 14, 2023 Friendly International
D.R. Congo vs Uganda
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Uganda
0:0
Jun 22, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Uganda
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D.R. Congo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Uganda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogere J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boateng K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo 36 / 100
Uganda 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo Uganda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D.R. Congo scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Uganda has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: D.R. Congo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo VS Uganda
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
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Uganda

(Away)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
29 Sept
Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
24 Sept
Tunisia
1 : 1
Uganda
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
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