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Dragon vs 11 Deportivo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Meza F.
58' Event
Coca D.
83' Event
Cruz E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between Dragon and 11 Deportivo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dragon
20%
Draws
16%
11 Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • 11 Deportivo's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Dragon have produced (0.87).
  • Model gives Dragon a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dragon Clean Sheet 20%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon 11 Deportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Dragon
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
4:0
Nov 3, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Dragon
1:0
May 1, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs 11 Deportivo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 36 / 100
11 Deportivo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon 11 Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragon's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

11 Deportivo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: 11 Deportivo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS 11 Deportivo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

11 Deportivo

(Away)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)