Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Chalatenango

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Arboleda Y.
20' Event
Montano J.
23' Event
Montano J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Dragon in this Primera Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dragon
20%
Draws
40%
Chalatenango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dragon have won more games recently than Chalatenango.
  • Chalatenango are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dragon Clean Sheet 18%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Chalatenango
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.12 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Dragon
2:2
Feb 12, 2023 Primera Division
Dragon vs Chalatenango
7:1
Oct 13, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Dragon
1:2
Sep 21, 2022 Primera Division
Dragon vs Chalatenango
0:1
Apr 7, 2018 Primera Division
Dragon vs Chalatenango
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 12 / 100
Chalatenango 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Chalatenango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalatenango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chalatenango conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Dragon's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Chalatenango registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

Chalatenango

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)