Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Jocoro

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Meza F.
42' Event
Gomez R.
Own Goal
46'
Chala M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Dragon and Jocoro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dragon
20%
Draws
40%
Jocoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dragon come out ahead of Jocoro on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dragon Clean Sheet 18%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Jocoro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Jocoro
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Dragon
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Dragon
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 Primera Division
Dragon vs Jocoro
1:3
Oct 22, 2023 Primera Division
Dragon vs Jocoro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Jocoro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 32 / 100
Jocoro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Jocoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jocoro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jocoro has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Dragon found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (37 games).

Jocoro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 8

Jocoro

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)