Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mendez A.
46' Event
Tobar Y.
71' Event
Chala M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Dragon and Santa Tecla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dragon
20%
Draws
16%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dragon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dragon Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Santa Tecla
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
3:1
Jan 24, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Santa Tecla
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 Primera Division
Dragon vs Santa Tecla
4:0
Sep 16, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
0:2
Apr 27, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobar Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chala M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 32 / 100
Santa Tecla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Tecla conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Dragon scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Santa Tecla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 8

Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)