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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Aguacateros CD Uruapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Avila Jaimes H. E.
41' Event
Flores F.
89' Event
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

Aguacateros CD Uruapan in this Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguacateros CD Uruapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dragones de Oaxaca
30%
Draws
23%
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dragones de Oaxaca at 1.5 per game, Aguacateros CD Uruapan at 1.4.
  • Model gives Dragones de Oaxaca a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 19%
Aguacateros CD Uruapan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragones de Oaxaca Aguacateros CD Uruapan
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Aguacateros CD Uruapan vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Aguacateros CD Uruapan
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Aguacateros CD Uruapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila Jaimes H. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones de Oaxaca 58 / 100
Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragones de Oaxaca Aguacateros CD Uruapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguacateros CD Uruapan has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Dragones de Oaxaca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Dragones de Oaxaca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragones de Oaxaca VS Aguacateros CD Uruapan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Home)
04 Oct
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 2
Real Refineros
27 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
4 : 3
Dragones de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
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Aguacateros CD Uruapan

(Away)
17 Mar
Poza Rica
3 : 0
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
14 Mar
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
0 : 0
Dragones de Oaxaca
08 Mar
Caja Oblatos
0 : 2
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
14 Feb
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
0 : 0
Racing de Veracruz 2
08 Feb
Acambaro
3 : 2
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 Racing de Veracruz 2 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)