Sport Picks
Dragones Toluca vs CF Orgullo Reynosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 
Match Events
25'
25'
Garcia R.
81'
81'
Gongora G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Orgullo Reynosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CF Orgullo Reynosa lately — more wins on the board than Dragones Toluca.
- Win probability leans CF Orgullo Reynosa's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dragones Toluca Clean Sheet 11%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dragones Toluca | CF Orgullo Reynosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones Toluca vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
1:1
Sep 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Dragones Toluca
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dragones Toluca Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Gongora G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dragones Toluca 18 / 100
CF Orgullo Reynosa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dragones Toluca CF Orgullo Reynosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Orgullo Reynosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Orgullo Reynosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Dragones Toluca scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Dragones Toluca remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dragones Toluca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dragones Toluca
(Home) 12 Apr
Tapachula
4 : 0 Dragones Toluca
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4 Dragones Toluca
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
28 Feb
Pioneros
3 : 1 Dragones Toluca
Page 1 of 7
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Deportiva Venados
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3 Canoneros FC
21 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1 Jaguares De Chiapas
07 Feb
Dragones Toluca
0 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
24 Jan
Dragones Toluca
0 : 2 Celaya
Page 1 of 4
CF Orgullo Reynosa
(Away) 05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1 CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1 CF Orgullo Reynosa
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
24 Mar
Apodaca
2 : 0 CF Orgullo Reynosa
10 Mar
Saltillo
2 : 1 CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Cabos United | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55:27 | 71 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 53:22 | 67 |
| 3 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 46:33 | 57 |
| 4 | Correcaminos 2 | 32 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 48:47 | 57 |
| 5 | Tecos | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 54:36 | 53 |
| 6 | Leones Negros 2 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 47:45 | 52 |
| 7 | Cimarrones de Sonora 2 | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 48 |
| 8 | UA Zacatecas | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 46:38 | 47 |
| 9 | CF Orgullo Reynosa | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | 47 |
| 10 | Tritones Vallarta | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 33:27 | 46 |
| 11 | Saltillo | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 12 | Apodaca | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 13 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38:41 | 40 |
| 14 | Calor De San Pedro | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 31:50 | 37 |
| 15 | Dragones Toluca | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22:56 | 29 |
| 16 | Colima FC | 32 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 31:62 | 25 |
| 17 | Coras FC | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 25:48 | 21 |
| 18 | Chihuahua F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 46:18 | 77 |
| 2 | Jaiba Brava | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 59:29 | 67 |
| 3 | Deportiva Venados | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 52:38 | 62 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 55:24 | 57 |
| 5 | Aguacateros de Periban | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:37 | 57 |
| 6 | Petroleros Salamanca | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 34:22 | 56 |
| 7 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:29 | 56 |
| 8 | Montaneses | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 47:42 | 56 |
| 9 | Escorpiones | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 10 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:35 | 47 |
| 11 | Cafetaleros de Chiapas | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 12 | Pioneros | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 32:47 | 37 |
| 13 | Lobos ULMX | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 29:47 | 34 |
| 14 | Halcones de Zapopan | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 29:38 | 32 |
| 15 | CS Canamy | 32 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 40:58 | 29 |
| 16 | San Juan de Aragon | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 30:62 | 25 |
| 17 | Inter de Queretaro | 32 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18:90 | 10 |
| 18 | Yalmakan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
