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Dragons vs ASPAC

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Dragons Logo

Dragons

3 - 2
FT
ASPAC Logo

ASPAC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Dragons and ASPAC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dragons
20%
Draws
57%
ASPAC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASPAC come out ahead of Dragons on wins alone.
  • ASPAC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Dragons Clean Sheet 11%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragons ASPAC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Dragons vs ASPAC
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Dragons vs ASPAC
2:1
May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragons 10 / 100
ASPAC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragons ASPAC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Dragons found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

ASPAC has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Dragons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragons VS ASPAC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragons

(Home)
20 Jun
Dragons
1 : 1
Buffles du Borgou
13 Jun
Cavaliers
2 : 1
Dragons
07 Jun
Dragons
1 : 0
Ayema
30 May
Coton FC
3 : 1
Dragons
22 May
Dragons
0 : 2
Loto
Page 1 of 6

ASPAC

(Away)
20 Jun
ASPAC
1 : 1
Cavaliers
13 Jun
Loto
1 : 0
ASPAC
06 Jun
ASPAC
2 : 0
ASVO
30 May
Dynamo Abomey
1 : 2
ASPAC
23 May
ASPAC
4 : 1
Damissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobemap 34 20 7 7 33:19 67
2 Coton FC 34 17 11 6 41:22 62
3 ASPAC 34 16 12 6 47:23 60
4 Loto 34 17 7 10 39:23 58
5 Buffles du Borgou 34 13 12 9 33:23 51
6 Dynamo Abomey 34 12 13 9 26:24 49
7 Espoir Savalou 34 13 10 11 33:34 49
8 AS Cotonou 34 11 14 9 25:20 47
9 Damissa 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
10 Hodio 34 10 13 11 37:33 43
11 ASVO 34 11 9 14 28:31 42
12 Ayema 34 9 13 12 19:20 40
13 Bani Ganse 34 8 15 11 27:31 39
14 Krake 34 8 15 11 33:38 39
15 Dragons 34 9 10 15 31:45 37
16 Cavaliers 34 8 12 14 28:37 36
17 JS Pob 34 7 14 13 31:36 35
18 Dadje 34 3 6 25 25:76 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)