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Stadium Background

Dragovoljac vs Jadran Luka Ploce

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Maric N.
12' Event
Maric N.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Radonic A.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Dragovoljac and Jadran Luka Ploce finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dragovoljac
15%
Draws
42%
Jadran Luka Ploce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragovoljac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jadran Luka Ploce come out ahead of Dragovoljac on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dragovoljac Clean Sheet 11%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragovoljac Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:5
Oct 31, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dragovoljac
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dragovoljac
4:1
Sep 6, 2024 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:0
Apr 26, 2024 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragovoljac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Maric N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Radonic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragovoljac 30 / 100
Jadran Luka Ploce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragovoljac Jadran Luka Ploce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragovoljac scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Jadran Luka Ploce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Dragovoljac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragovoljac VS Jadran Luka Ploce
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragovoljac

(Home)
03 Oct
Grobnican
1 : 4
Dragovoljac
25 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 1
Radnik Krizevci
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Dragovoljac
1 : 0
Slavonija Pozega
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
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Jadran Luka Ploce

(Away)
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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