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Dravinja vs Bistrica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dzumhur S.
45' Event
Koprivc M.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Koprivc M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Dravinja and Bistrica finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dravinja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dravinja
20%
Draws
45%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dravinja are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Bistrica
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
0:3
Aug 25, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
2:0
May 24, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Koprivc M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pucnik L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzumhur S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 38 / 100
Bistrica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dravinja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bistrica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Dravinja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Bistrica
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
31 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
28 Oct
Krsko Posavje
0 : 6
Dravinja
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
11 Oct
Primorje
1 : 1
Dravinja
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Bistrica

(Away)
01 Nov
Bistrica
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
23 Oct
Bistrica
4 : 3
Bilje
17 Oct
Bistrica
1 : 0
Primorje
11 Oct
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 1
Bistrica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
2 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
3 Triglav 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Bistrica 13 7 2 4 19:16 23
5 Ilirija 13 7 1 5 24:13 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
9 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
10 Jadran Dekani 13 4 4 5 7:8 16
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)