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Dravinja vs Bistrica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dravinja host Bistrica in the 2. SNL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Dravinja at 1.1 goals for, 1.52 against; Bistrica at 1.42 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Bistrica slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.75, favoring Dravinja. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
76%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrica's 1.42 goals per match outpaces what Dravinja have produced (1.1).
  • Bistrica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 12%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Bistrica
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
0:3
Aug 25, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
2:0
May 24, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
4:0
Mar 3, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 10 / 100
Bistrica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dravinja found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Bistrica let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Dravinja remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Bistrica
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
16 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 3
Bilje
Page 1 of 6

Bistrica

(Away)
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
22 Aug
Bilje
1 : 4
Bistrica
15 Aug
Bistrica
0 : 6
Ilirija
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 6 5 1 0 16:1 16
2 Bilje 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
3 Ilirija 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
4 Vrhnika 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Jesenice 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
6 Bistrica 6 3 1 2 8:9 10
7 Slovan Ljubljana 6 3 1 2 8:11 10
8 Triglav 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
9 Beltinci 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
10 NK Krka 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Primorje 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
12 Rudar 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
13 Jadran Dekani 5 1 2 2 3:3 5
14 Krsko Posavje 6 1 2 3 5:12 5
15 NK Brezice 5 0 1 4 4:8 1
16 Dravinja 6 0 1 5 4:16 1
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)