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Dravinja vs Grosuplje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Adebayo M.
83' Event
Hojc V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
51%
Grosuplje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grosuplje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosuplje have won more games recently than Dravinja.
  • Grosuplje are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Grosuplje here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Grosuplje
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Grosuplje
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Dravinja
2:1
May 7, 2025 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Dravinja
6:0
Oct 27, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Grosuplje
0:2
Apr 27, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Grosuplje
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Adebayo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojc V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 26 / 100
Grosuplje 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Grosuplje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosuplje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Dravinja scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Grosuplje let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Grosuplje registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Grosuplje
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
28 Sept
Rudar
3 : 1
Dravinja
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
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Grosuplje

(Away)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)