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Dravinja vs Triglav - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Koprivc M.
17' Event
Dovzan Karahodzic L.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Dovzan Karahodzic L.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Dravinja and Triglav finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
46%
Triglav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dravinja haven't matched Triglav's recent run of results.
  • Dravinja are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 2. SNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Triglav here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%
Triglav Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Triglav
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
1:4
Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Dravinja
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
2:4
May 18, 2025 2. SNL
Triglav vs Dravinja
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Triglav
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Koprivc M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Dovzan Karahodzic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hegic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 56 / 100
Triglav 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Triglav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dravinja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dravinja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Triglav conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Triglav
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
31 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
28 Oct
Krsko Posavje
0 : 6
Dravinja
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
11 Oct
Primorje
1 : 1
Dravinja
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Triglav

(Away)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
02 Nov
Triglav
2 : 4
NK Krka
28 Oct
Beltinci
3 : 4
Triglav
23 Oct
Triglav
2 : 1
Nafta
16 Oct
Triglav
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)