Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dravograd vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2023/2024
Dravograd Logo

Dravograd

1 - 2
FT
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2023/2024 game between Dravograd and Ljutomer finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ljutomer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dravograd
15%
Draws
85%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ljutomer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ljutomer have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dravograd Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravograd Ljutomer
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 1 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 27 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.69
Goals Conceded 4.21 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
5:2
Oct 14, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs Ljutomer
1:2
Apr 15, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs Ljutomer
2:6
Sep 24, 2022 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
5:0
Apr 13, 2013 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Dravograd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravograd 10 / 100
Ljutomer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravograd Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Dravograd's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Ljutomer has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravograd

(Home)
25 May
Dravograd
1 : 2
NK Brezice
18 May
NK Smartno
6 : 0
Dravograd
11 May
Dravograd
1 : 6
Krsko Posavje
04 May
Hajdina
9 : 0
Dravograd
27 Apr
Ljutomer
5 : 2
Dravograd
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Ljutomer

(Away)
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
15 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Dobrovce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drava 26 20 3 3 81:24 63
2 Krsko Posavje 26 14 5 7 88:41 47
3 SD Videm 26 13 6 7 49:41 45
4 Korotan Prevalje 26 13 6 7 50:34 45
5 NK Brezice 26 14 2 10 67:51 44
6 Hajdina 26 12 2 12 53:43 38
7 Podvinci 26 11 5 10 47:42 38
8 Sampion Celje 26 11 4 11 47:54 37
9 Zavrc 26 10 6 10 46:44 36
10 Race 26 10 5 11 36:37 35
11 Ljutomer 26 9 5 12 45:61 32
12 NK Smartno 26 9 3 14 42:57 30
13 Dobrovce 26 6 5 15 27:55 23
14 Dravograd 26 1 1 24 16:110 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2024/2025 (Main)