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Drenica vs Llapi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kote G.
41' Event
Durmishaj A.
44' Event
Kote G.

AI Match Summary

Drenica in this Superliga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drenica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Drenica
15%
Draws
39%
Llapi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llapi lately — more wins on the board than Drenica.
  • Win probability leans Drenica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Drenica Clean Sheet 68%
Llapi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drenica Llapi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Llapi
4:0
Apr 12, 2026 Superliga
Llapi vs Drenica
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Llapi
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Superliga
Llapi vs Drenica
4:3
Aug 17, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Llapi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kote G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Durmishaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Llapi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 95 / 100
Llapi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drenica Llapi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drenica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Drenica scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Llapi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Drenica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Drenica VS Llapi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Drenica

(Home)
02 Oct
Partizani
2 : 1
Drenica
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
13 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 3
Drenica
08 Sept
Drenica
1 : 4
Prishtina
05 Sept
Drita
0 : 0
Drenica
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Llapi

(Away)
09 Oct
Llapi
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
03 Oct
Llapi
1 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
14 Sept
Llapi
0 : 4
Malisheva
08 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 4
Llapi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malisheva 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Prishtina 6 6 0 0 18:4 18
3 FC Ballkani 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
4 Dukagjini 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 Gjilani 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Drita 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 Drenica 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
8 Feronikeli 7 2 0 5 5:13 6
9 Llapi 8 1 0 7 8:22 3
10 Vushtrria 7 0 0 7 3:20 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation)