Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drenica vs Malisheva

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Jashari I.
39' Event
Diatta A.
80' Event
Jashari I.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga 2025/2026 game between Drenica and Malisheva finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Drenica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Drenica
15%
Draws
40%
Malisheva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Drenica haven't matched Malisheva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Malisheva a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malisheva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Drenica Clean Sheet 12%
Malisheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drenica Malisheva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superliga
Malisheva vs Drenica
4:1
Mar 17, 2026 Superliga
Drenica vs Malisheva
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Superliga
Malisheva vs Drenica
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superliga
Drenica vs Malisheva
3:4
Apr 29, 2023 Superliga
Drenica vs Malisheva
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drenica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jashari I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Malisheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Diatta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 14 / 100
Malisheva 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drenica Malisheva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malisheva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Drenica scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Malisheva conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Drenica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Drenica VS Malisheva
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Drenica

(Home)
15 Aug
Drenica
0 : 0
Dukagjini
31 May
Prishtina
1 : 2
Drenica
24 May
Drenica
3 : 2
Ferizaj
17 May
Malisheva
4 : 1
Drenica
09 May
Drenica
2 : 1
Gjilani
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Malisheva

(Away)
15 Aug
Vushtrria
1 : 6
Malisheva
30 Jul
Hibernian
4 : 1
Malisheva
23 Jul
Malisheva
2 : 0
Hibernian
15 Jul
Malisheva
5 : 0
Vllaznia
09 Jul
Vllaznia
2 : 1
Malisheva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drita 36 20 6 10 50:35 66
2 Malisheva 36 18 5 13 58:50 59
3 FC Ballkani 36 17 7 12 61:41 58
4 Dukagjini 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
5 Gjilani 36 14 9 13 47:48 51
6 Drenica 36 15 5 16 46:55 50
7 Prishtina 36 13 10 13 52:51 49
8 Llapi 36 13 10 13 46:50 49
9 Ferizaj 36 9 9 18 40:55 36
10 Prishtina e Re 36 8 7 21 39:60 31
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)