Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden II vs Aue II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dresden II
35%
Draws
20%
Aue II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Aue II haven't matched Dresden II's recent run of results.
  • Dresden II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 18%
Aue II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden II Aue II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Aue II
3:0
Oct 18, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Dresden II
1:0
May 24, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Dresden II
2:1
Nov 23, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Aue II
4:1
May 8, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Aue II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden II 85 / 100
Aue II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden II Aue II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden II scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Dresden II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aue II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dresden II VS Aue II
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden II

(Home)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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Aue II

(Away)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)