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Dresden II vs Erfurt II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erfurt II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dresden II
35%
Draws
30%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden II have won more games recently than Erfurt II.
  • Model gives Dresden II a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 12%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden II Erfurt II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Erfurt II
0:1
Oct 5, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Dresden II
3:0
Apr 6, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Dresden II
2:2
Sep 21, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Erfurt II
2:1
Jun 5, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Erfurt II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden II 83 / 100
Erfurt II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden II Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Dresden II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erfurt II let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dresden II VS Erfurt II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden II

(Home)
26 Sept
Glauchau
0 : 0
Dresden II
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)