Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden II vs Freital

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden II in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dresden II
15%
Draws
32%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Freital have won more games recently than Dresden II.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Dresden II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 16%
Freital Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden II Freital
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Freital
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden II 66 / 100
Freital 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden II Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Freital has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Dresden II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Freital's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden II VS Freital
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden II

(Home)
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
27 Mar
Usti nad Labem
4 : 0
Dresden II
06 Sept
Bohemians 1905 B
0 : 7
Dresden II
14 Jun
Dresden II
3 : 1
Sandersdorf
Page 1 of 6

Freital

(Away)
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
30 May
Rsv Eintracht
2 : 1
Freital
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
10 May
Halberstadt
1 : 3
Freital
01 May
Freital
1 : 2
Halle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eilenburg 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 SSC Weissenfels 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Plauen 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Halberstadt 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Sandersdorf 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 Meuselwitz 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Halle 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Dresden II 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Auerbach 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Freital 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
12 Krieschow 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Glauchau 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15 Bautzen 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
16 1.FC Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)