Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden II vs Freital

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden II in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dresden II
35%
Draws
30%
Freital
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden II average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Freital's 1.72.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Dresden II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 20%
Freital Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden II Freital
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Freital
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden II 76 / 100
Freital 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden II Freital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden II found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Dresden II has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Freital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dresden II VS Freital
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden II

(Home)
26 Sept
Glauchau
0 : 0
Dresden II
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
Page 1 of 6

Freital

(Away)
26 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
3 : 3
Freital
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Einheit Rudolstadt
1 : 1
Freital
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Freital
4 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 6 5 1 0 20:4 16
2 Meuselwitz 6 5 1 0 13:5 16
3 Eilenburg 6 4 1 1 19:10 13
4 Halle 6 4 0 2 15:11 12
5 Auerbach 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
6 Dresden II 6 2 4 0 9:4 10
7 SSC Weissenfels 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
8 Plauen 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Einheit Wernigerode 6 1 4 1 12:12 7
10 Sandersdorf 6 2 0 4 13:10 6
11 Freital 6 1 3 2 11:12 6
12 Bautzen 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
13 Krieschow 6 1 1 4 5:16 4
14 1.FC Frankfurt 6 1 0 5 7:23 3
15 Glauchau 6 0 2 4 5:12 2
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 6 0 2 4 4:15 2
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