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Stadium Background

Dresden U19 vs Chemnitzer U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Dresden U19 and Chemnitzer U19 finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dresden U19
15%
Draws
65%
Chemnitzer U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemnitzer U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer U19 come out ahead of Dresden U19 on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Chemnitzer U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chemnitzer U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden U19 Chemnitzer U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.84 2.28
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Chemnitzer U19
3:5
Apr 2, 2026 DFB Youth League
Chemnitzer U19 vs Dresden U19
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Chemnitzer U19
3:1
Sep 3, 2025 DFB Youth League
Chemnitzer U19 vs Dresden U19
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 DFB Youth League
Chemnitzer U19 vs Dresden U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden U19 10 / 100
Chemnitzer U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden U19 Chemnitzer U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden U19 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Chemnitzer U19 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Dresden U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dresden U19 VS Chemnitzer U19
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden U19

(Home)
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Dresden U19
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
15 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
4 : 2
Dresden U19
07 Aug
Dresden U19
0 : 2
Aue U19
02 Aug
Dresden U19
2 : 6
Hannover U19
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Chemnitzer U19

(Away)
15 Aug
Chemnitzer U19
4 : 3
Babelsberg U19
01 Aug
Meuselwitz U19
0 : 8
Chemnitzer U19
23 May
Erfurt U19
0 : 4
Chemnitzer U19
16 May
Chemnitzer U19
2 : 2
Borea Dresden U19
09 May
Viktoria Berlin U19
2 : 1
Chemnitzer U19
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