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Stadium Background

Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Dresden U19 and St. Pauli U19 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dresden U19
15%
Draws
46%
St. Pauli U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Pauli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Pauli U19 come out ahead of Dresden U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dresden U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular DFB Youth League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden U19 St. Pauli U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.87 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
3:3
Mar 28, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Dresden U19
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Junioren Bundesliga North
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Dresden U19
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Junioren Bundesliga North
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden U19 40 / 100
St. Pauli U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden U19 St. Pauli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden U19's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: St. Pauli U19 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Dresden U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden U19 VS St. Pauli U19
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Dresden U19
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
15 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
4 : 2
Dresden U19
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St. Pauli U19

(Away)
12 Sept
St. Pauli U19
1 : 3
Werder Bremen U19
30 Aug
St. Pauli U19
1 : 2
Koln U19
23 Aug
Berliner AK 07 U19
0 : 1
St. Pauli U19
15 Aug
Hansa Rostock U19
1 : 1
St. Pauli U19
09 Aug
St. Pauli U19
3 : 1
Hamburger U19
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