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Dresden vs Energie Cottbus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Oehmichen J.
53' Event
Casar A.
87' Event
Hauptmann N.

AI Match Summary

Dresden in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Dresden
35%
Draws
56%
Energie Cottbus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Energie Cottbus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Dresden have won more games recently than Energie Cottbus.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Energie Cottbus taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Energie Cottbus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
1:2
Nov 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Dresden
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 3. Liga
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Oehmichen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Energie Cottbus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 10 / 100
Energie Cottbus 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Energie Cottbus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Energie Cottbus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Energie Cottbus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Dresden has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Energie Cottbus
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
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Energie Cottbus

(Away)
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
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