Sport Picks
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden 
Match Events
26'
26'
Amoako K.
27'
27'
Wagner R.
40'
40'
Leistner T.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Dresden and Hertha Berlin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hertha Berlin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hertha Berlin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dresden come out ahead of Hertha Berlin on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Dresden taking it.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- Hertha Berlin have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dresden | Hertha Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
2:0
Oct 30, 2019 DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
4:3
Mar 2, 2013 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
1:0
Sep 26, 2012 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dresden Compare
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Hertha Berlin Compare
Top Goalscorer Winkler M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dresden 34 / 100
Hertha Berlin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dresden Hertha Berlin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dresden scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Hertha Berlin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Dresden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dresden VS Hertha Berlin
3.88 Goals Scored 4.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Dresden
(Home) 09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1 Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2 Energie Cottbus
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5 Dresden
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01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1 Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1 Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2 Energie Cottbus
11 Jul
Dresden
4 : 0 Kassel
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1 Holstein Kiel
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Hertha Berlin
(Away) 07 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1 Hertha Berlin
31 Jul
1. FC Koln
2 : 2 Hertha Berlin
21 Jul
Hertha Berlin
1 : 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
17 Jul
Hertha Berlin
3 : 2 Tirol
11 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
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07 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1 Hertha Berlin
31 Jul
1. FC Koln
2 : 2 Hertha Berlin
11 Jul
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
08 Jul
Lichtenberg
0 : 9 Hertha Berlin
04 Jul
Frohnauer SC
0 : 15 Hertha Berlin
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
