Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden vs Mlada Boleslav

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Daferner C.
97' Event
Lehky F.
116' Event
Kutschke S.

AI Match Summary

Dresden in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Dresden
15%
Draws
64%
Mlada Boleslav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mlada Boleslav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mlada Boleslav lately — more wins on the board than Dresden.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Mlada Boleslav taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Mlada Boleslav
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.41 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Mlada Boleslav
2:1
Jan 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Mlada Boleslav
0:0
Jan 19, 2018 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Mlada Boleslav
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Daferner C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kutschke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehky F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 10 / 100
Mlada Boleslav 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Mlada Boleslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Mlada Boleslav's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Dresden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Mlada Boleslav
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
23 Aug
Westfalia Rhynern
0 : 6
Dresden
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Mlada Boleslav

(Away)
19 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Brno
15 Sept
Trinec
0 : 3
Mlada Boleslav
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
26 Aug
Meteor Prague
0 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
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