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Dresden vs Regensburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kother D.
16' Event
Herrmann L.
43' Event
Marx J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Dresden and Regensburg finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dresden
30%
Draws
47%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Regensburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Regensburg
5:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Regensburg
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Dresden
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 3. Liga
Dresden vs Regensburg
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Regensburg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Kother D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrmann L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Regensburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 29 / 100
Regensburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Difficult form: Regensburg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Regensburg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
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Regensburg

(Away)
01 Oct
Regensburg
0 : 6
Tirol
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 3
Regensburg
15 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
12 Sept
Alemannia Aachen
2 : 2
Regensburg
05 Sept
Regensburg
1 : 2
Duisburg
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