Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden vs Regensburg

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kother D.
16' Event
Herrmann L.
43' Event
Marx J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Dresden and Regensburg finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dresden
6%
Draws
4%
Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dresden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dresden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dresden Clean Sheet 19%
Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Regensburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 3.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Regensburg
5:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Regensburg
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 3. Liga
Regensburg vs Dresden
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 3. Liga
Dresden vs Regensburg
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Regensburg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Kother D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrmann L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Regensburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 85 / 100
Regensburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Regensburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SGD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Regensburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dresden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Regensburg
3.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
25 Jul
Dresden
2 : 1
Energie Cottbus
25 Jul
Dresden
1 : 2
Energie Cottbus
18 Jul
Grazer AK
0 : 5
Dresden
11 Jul
Dresden
4 : 0
Kassel
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Regensburg

(Away)
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Stutt. Kickers
1 : 2
Regensburg
15 Jul
Regensburg
2 : 3
Vilzing
09 Jul
Unterhaching
0 : 2
Regensburg
06 Jul
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Regensburg
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