Sport Picks
Drogheda vs Avondale United
Ireland
FAI Cup 2019 Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda 
Match Events
13'
13'
Doyle M.
55'
55'
Donovan J.
74'
74'
O'Shea R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Drogheda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Drogheda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Drogheda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Drogheda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Drogheda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 16%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Drogheda | Avondale United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 25 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2019 FAI Cup
Drogheda vs Avondale United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Drogheda Compare
Top Goalscorer Doyle M.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Shea R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Avondale United Compare
Top Goalscorer Donovan J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Drogheda 57 / 100
Avondale United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Drogheda Avondale United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Avondale United conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Drogheda scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Avondale United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Drogheda VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Drogheda
(Home) 18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1 Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2 Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2 Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 4
Avondale United
(Away) 02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0 Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2 Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
04 Apr
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 0 Avondale United
31 May
Cobh Wanderers
3 : 3 Avondale United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Avondale United 4
Newtown Rangers 3
TBD -
Drogheda -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Collinstown 1
St Mochta's 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
University College Cork 0
Malahide United 2
Killester Donnycarney -
TBD -
Aisling Annacotty 1
Lucan Utd 3
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
Midleton 1
Glebe North 2
Cobh Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Letterkenny Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
Maynooth University 5
St. Michaels 1
Sheriff YC 0
Home Farm 1
Glengad United 2
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
1/16-finals
Shamrock Rovers 1
Finn Harps 0
Avondale United 1
Drogheda 2
Cork City 3
Cabinteely 2
Collinstown 1
Galway United 2
Crumlin Utd 3
Malahide United 1
Killester Donnycarney 1
Lucan Utd 2
Longford 3
Athlone 1
Shelbourne 2
Bohemians 3
Sligo Rovers 8
Glebe North 0
Cobh Wanderers 0
Limerick 1
St. Patricks 2
Bray 1
Letterkenny Rovers 2
UC Dublin 5
Waterford 2
Maynooth University 0
St. Michaels 0
Glengad United 1
Derry City 1
Wexford 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
1/8-finals
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 0
Cork City 0
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 3
Lucan Utd 1
Longford 1
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 6
Limerick 2
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 2
Glengad United 0
Derry City 2
Dundalk 3
Quarter-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Sligo Rovers 4
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 1
Dundalk 3
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 1
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
